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1. Triple Crown Contenders

a. Epicenter

Considered the favorite for the Belmont Stakes, Epicenter is a son of Not This Time who has been impressive in his past performances, including a win in the Louisiana Derby and a second-place finish in the Kentucky Derby. With a powerful stride and a strong finish, he is a formidable competitor who should be at the top of the contenders list.

b. We the People

A son of Constitution, We the People captured the attention of racing enthusiasts with his dazzling performance in the Peter Pan Stakes, securing a five-length victory. His pedigree suggests stamina and durability, making him a potential threat in a race that requires endurance.

c. Mo Donegal

Trained by Todd Pletcher, Mo Donegal has consistently showcased his talent, with victories in the Wood Memorial Stakes and the Remsen Stakes to his credit. Known for his tactical speed and ability to rally late, he is a contender who should not be overlooked.

2. Long-Shot Possibilities

a. Golden Glider

Golden Glider, a son of Ghostzapper, has displayed promising form, with a win in the Withers Stakes and a third-place finish in the Wood Memorial Stakes. His connections believe he possesses the stamina to succeed in the 1 1/2-mile Belmont Stakes, making him a dark horse to watch.

b. Skippylongstocking

Skippylongstocking, trained by Saffie Joseph Jr., is a versatile runner who has performed well on both turf and dirt tracks. His victory in the Grade 3 Transylvania Stakes and a respectable fifth-place finish in the Kentucky Derby suggest he could surprise in the Belmont Stakes.

3. Statistical Analysis

a. Pedigree

Thoroughbreds with stamina-oriented bloodlines have historically performed well in the Belmont Stakes. Progeny of sires like Tapit, Not This Time, and Uncle Mo have a proven track record of success in endurance races.

b. Past Performances

Horses that have won or placed in races like the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes, or Wood Memorial Stakes have a higher probability of performing well in the Belmont Stakes. These events provide a strong indication of a horse's stamina and ability to handle the demanding conditions of the "Test of the Champion."

4. Handicapping Factors

a. Distance

The Belmont Stakes, at 1 1/2 miles, is the longest of the Triple Crown races. Horses with proven stamina or a pedigree that suggests endurance will have an advantage in this grueling event.

b. Post Position

Post position can influence a horse's performance in the Belmont Stakes. Stalls towards the inside may provide an advantage for horses that prefer to race closer to the rail, while those drawn outside may have to expend more energy to secure a favorable position.

c. Pace

The pace of the race will significantly impact the outcome. If the pace is slow, front-runners have a better chance of maintaining their lead, while closers may have an advantage if the pace is fast.

5. Trainer and Jockey

a. Trainership

Trainers like Bob Baffert, Todd Pletcher, and Saffie Joseph Jr. have a wealth of experience and have trained numerous Belmont Stakes winners. Their expertise can be crucial in preparing horses for this demanding race.

b. Jockeyship

Jockeys who are skilled at managing stamina and pacing have an edge in the Belmont Stakes. Riders like John Velazquez, Javier Castellano, and Luis Saez have proven their ability to navigate the complexities of the race to victory.

Conclusion

The 2023 Belmont Stakes promises to be an exhilarating race with a competitive field of contenders. While Epicenter stands out as the favorite, other horses like We the People, Mo Donegal, and long-shot possibilities Golden Glider and Skippylongstocking should not be underestimated. Handicapping factors such as pedigree, past performances, distance, post position, pace, and the experience of trainers and jockeys will all play a vital role in determining the outcome of this historic event.

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